One thing to keep in mind FPRPA, the Evangelical community is not led by any single figure, there is no “pope” nor spiritual guru to line everyone up and send them out to vote.
The things that line people up are social issues that have a common immoral theme that whichever candidate is in favor of implementing.
In 06 for example many stayed home due to the perception that the DC Republicans were corrupt and didn’t handle the Foley situation very well.
In 04, there were the gay marriage amendments, that got people to the polls, in the absence of such issues, Dobson etc can talk until they are blue in the face because it is a broken field with no single issue motivating a block voting behavour.
I think Fred will do well if an issue arises, if not, then Romeny will do “okay” and Rudy remains to be seen.
Dems have been pandering so much to homosexuals in their debates. And I think some states might be trying to pass some type of gay marriage/civil unions, but I’m not sure yet.