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I strongly agree with your assesments. They are not simply wishfull thinking but based in reality. The Iraqi population has awoken to a new day, in ever greater numbers. What some of us used to say about a given province now most probably is most everywhere in Iraq including many areas of the southern provinces.
Iraqi have news papers and watch world news. They both know the stakes as well as what could happen should they revert to past crimes of simple neglegience.
As sustainable security continues to take over, only a hard core radical type muslim would want to hold out.
They have with some dramatic success stories thus far shown how they can reach beyond tribal and sub sect barriers. I suspect this will become the norm.