""I think he’s popular right now among many Republicans because he’s the “not a Mormon” and “not Rudy” and “not McCain” candidate (i.e., he’s popular by default)."" ============================================================ You should start paying more attention to the issues that drive the conservative base. EXAMPLE ONE:
I’m in the conservative base and I don’t think much of Thompson.
I’m voting for Romney, who I believe is more conservative, more articulate, has a much better presence, and therefore could also pull in swing voters. Thompson reminds me of Dole.