If one simply substitutes the term "generic Republican" for a Rudy Giuliani, one sees confirmed what I have been preaching for months: the Democrats are secure and virtually impregnable in their blue states while we Republicans on the other hand are extremely vulnerable in the border states and the Mountain states. Demographic changes in Florida are making that state increasingly vulnerable. Ohio was lost in the last election and there is no reason to believe it will not stay lost for the foreseeable future. Virginia was also lost and is extremely vulnerable to us for both the Senate seat and the presidential electoral count. If we lose any one of these three states we will have absolutely no chance for the presidency. If we lose a large chunk of the border states, or even only Missouri, we will have no chance for the presidency. If we lose a large chunk of the Mountain states we have no chance for the presidency.
We have no realistic chance under any of these scenarios because the only hope we have of poaching in blue state territory is Wisconsin and this alone is not enough to offset the losses we will sustain in the border, mountain, and Midwestern states.
This is why I have been saying the Republicans are foredoomed to lose this presidential election unless we change the rules of the game. There is some evidence that Fred Thompson intends to do exactly that. If he does not do so he cannot win, in fact, no Republican can win, Rudy Giuliani least of all because he will not have the support of the base of the party.
In my view the race for the nomination will come down to Thompson and Romney and Thompson will probably get it. I say again, our nominee must run on a whole new series of issues or the mainstream media will beat us to death if we do not seize the agenda and taken away from them.
