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How Thompson Hurt His Own Prospects -- and Helped Romney's
Real Clear Politics ^ | September 04, 2007 | Stuart Rothenberg

Posted on 09/04/2007 7:30:05 AM PDT by AmericanMade1776

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To: AmericanMade1776
"In delaying his entry into the Republican race, Thompson has looked indecisive and weak. He has lost potential supporters and contributors to other campaigns. And he has limited the strategic options of his campaign.

But maybe more than anything else, he gave an opening first to Romney and more recently to Huckabee that neither would have had. So instead of squeezing them out of the race in the summer, Fred Thompson finds himself squeezed in the fall.

Is Thompson a problem for Romney? Sure, but not as much of a problem as Romney now is for Thompson."

Good analysis.

101 posted on 09/04/2007 1:54:52 PM PDT by TAdams8591 (Guiliani is a Democrat in Republican drag. Mitt Romney for president in 2008! : ))
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To: finnman69
Polls are just polls, they are not elections, remember this poll Five years ago for Democrats?


102 posted on 09/04/2007 2:22:48 PM PDT by AmericanMade1776 ( my opinions do not represent the opinions of the management at Free Republic, they are mine alone.)
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To: TraditionalistMommy

Not true ! He worked very hard to pass McCain-Feingold in order to restrict political speech in America ! Give the man some credit where credit is due !


103 posted on 09/04/2007 2:26:42 PM PDT by jonathanmo (No tag available at this time.)
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To: AmericanMade1776

true enough

nut this year’s schedule has moved up compared to 2004 when Super tuesday was in March. It will be over Feb 8, before super tuesday.

January 19 Iowa Kerry (38%), Edwards (32%), Dean (18%)
January 27 New Hampshire Kerry (39%), Dean (26%)
February 3 Arizona
Delaware
Missouri
New Mexico
North Dakota
Oklahoma
South Carolina Kerry (43%), Clark (27%), Dean (14%)
Kerry (50%)
Kerry (51%), Edwards (25%)
Kerry (42%), Clark (21%), Dean (16%)
Kerry (50%), Clark (24%)
Clark (30%), Edwards (30%), Kerry (27%)
Edwards (45%), Kerry (30%)
February 6-9 Democrats Abroad (Results on the website.)
February 7 Michigan
Washington Kerry (52%), Dean (17%), Edwards (13%)
Kerry (49%), Dean (30%)
February 8 Maine Kerry (45%), Dean (26%), Kucinich (16%)
February 10 Tennessee
Virginia Kerry (41%), Edwards (26%), Clark (23%)
Kerry (52%), Edwards (27%)
February 14 District of Columbia
Nevada Kerry (47%), Sharpton (20%), Dean (18%)
Kerry (63%), Dean (17%)
February 17 Wisconsin Kerry (40%), Edwards (34%), Dean (18%)
February 24 Hawaii
Idaho
Utah Kerry (50%), Kucinich (26%)
Kerry (54%), Edwards (22%)
Kerry (55%), Edwards (30%)
March 2 California
Connecticut
Georgia
Maryland
Massachusetts
Minnesota
New York
Ohio
Rhode Island
Vermont Kerry (64%), Edwards (20%)
Kerry (58%), Edwards (24%)
Kerry (47%), Edwards (41%)
Kerry (60%), Edwards (26%)
Kerry (72%), Edwards (18%)
Kerry (51%), Edwards (27%)
Kerry (61%), Edwards (20%)
Kerry (52%), Edwards (34%)
Kerry (71%), Edwards (19%)
Dean (58%), Kerry (34%)
March 8 American Samoa N/A
March 9 Florida
Louisiana
Mississippi
Texas Kerry (77%)
Kerry (70%), Edwards (16%)
Kerry (78%)
Kerry (67%), Edwards (14%)


104 posted on 09/04/2007 3:05:45 PM PDT by finnman69 (cum puella incedit minore medio corpore sub quo manifestu s globus, inflammare animos)
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To: AmericanMade1776

Bob Dole beat GHWB at the Iowa Caucuses in 1988. It is only SO important.


105 posted on 09/04/2007 3:25:20 PM PDT by EDINVA
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To: AmericanMade1776
WELL, LET ME MAKE THIS PERFECTLY CLEAR.... I HAVE TO SAY THAT.......


106 posted on 09/04/2007 3:31:20 PM PDT by Fred (Democrat Party - "The Nadir of Nihilism")
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To: cartoonistx

YOU ARE CORRRECT SIR.....


107 posted on 09/04/2007 3:33:34 PM PDT by Fred (Democrat Party - "The Nadir of Nihilism")
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To: redgirlinabluestate
Actually, it was more than a brief "blip." Romney's taken a big upswing in the polls since Ames. He's leading in Michigan, Iowa, Nevada and New Hampshire

Yes, it was a "blip". He was already leading Iowa, his lead is down to about half of its highest point. He already had led New Hampshire, and now Guiliani is within MOE of him there. Michigan is essentially tied with Guiliani, despite being a state where Romney has "roots". I call BS on Nevada -- polls there have been a mixed bag, showing no trends whatsoever... virtually anyone can claim to be in first there right now.

and is moving up in Florida and South Carolina as well

Well, he did break into double-digits in Florida, so I guess that's an improvement. Why he's actually polling near his national average there now!

Latest SC: Giuliani 21, Thompson 23, McCain 14, Romney 10 -- this is "moving up"?

He's also recently made great strides in the national polling too.

Rasmussen, Gallup, and ARG all have him with 2-3 point leads over dead-duck McCain. Liberal-biased Quinnapiac, which gives Romney an edge, has him at McCain +4. Hardly breakout numbers.

108 posted on 09/05/2007 4:56:33 AM PDT by kevkrom (The religion of global warming: "There is no goddess but Gaia and Al Gore is her profit.")
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To: wagglebee

Thank You for pointing out my incorrect memory. I did vote for Reagan in 1984 which was not popular in my college. My point is the other candidates have been breaking their asses running around the country on the house party rubber chicken circuit while Mr. Thompson has been aloof. Eventually I’ll consider him and his positions, but my first impressions are not positive.


109 posted on 09/05/2007 6:39:39 AM PDT by jackieaxe (The Drug War is Pork Barrel spending!)
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