I suspect that at this point Thompson and Giuliani get about the same electoral count in state by state polling. Most of the south and the west is going to be rather monolithic in opposing Hillary. Rudy gains a few points by not getting wiped as bad in New York, Pennsylvania, and California. Don’t get me wrong, I am sure Rudy is losing those states also, but not by as much.
Exactly why (hillary!) will tag someone who can deliver one of those SW states, ala Richardson.
Of course, if she gets Ohio, the game is damn near lost and that is very possible.
The South is red. The NE & California are blue.