That route does pass Venezuela to the east. The new Venesuelan aircraft have the range to interdict that line of travel.
What are you drinking? It must be wood alcohol as you must be blind! Do I believe you or the world map I have been looking at the past 60 years?
The Su-30MK2 Hugo ordered have a range: 3,000 km (1,620 nm) and if you would look at the same map I am (Or any other map of the world!), that UK Route to Ascension Island and then on to the Falklands is at least some 2,700 miles from the farthest east point of Venezuela...
Look, I enjoy your posts and for the most point we share agreement on Hugo and world events BUT you are dead wrong here and I cannot for the life of me understand why you will not admit it when presented with a map anyone can read?