Who cares what they believe?
Economic realities tend to drive these things and they are best determined in retrospect.
It would give a clue as to why they would launch a rebellion to protect an institution you claim was doomed. But you're right, what did they know anyway?
Economic realities tend to drive these things and they are best determined in retrospect.
I'm sure that in retrospect the Japanese and Germans concluded that World War II was a bad idea. But they still went to war and they had reasons for doing so.