Fredipedia: The Definitive Fred Thompson Reference
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Posted on 08/23/2007 7:42:50 AM PDT by Brices Crossroads
According to Gallup's analysis of the relationship between candidate familiarity and vote choice over the past three polls, Giuliani is the clear favorite among Republicans who are not familiar with all of the other candidates in the field. He leads this group with 38% of the vote, compared with 18% for McCain, 12% for Thompson, and only 6% for Romney. However, among the slightly smaller group of Republicans who are familiar with all four candidates, the leader is Thompson with 33%. Giuliani ranks second with 25%, followed by Romney and then McCain.
This represents a stark contrast to the stability of voter choices on the Democratic side. The implication is that Giuliani is at greater risk than Clinton of losing support as the campaign progresses and his opponents become better known.
(Excerpt) Read more at galluppoll.com ...
Why change the original title?
A little disturbing how Rudy stays right up there.
bump
The "not familiar with all of the other candidates" thing will change rather dramatically starting in about 2 weeks. Fred's coming, and things won't be remotely the same afterwards. Most of the other candidates (McStain, Hunter, Huckabee, Tancredo, Brownback & Paul) will be gone shortly thereafter, and Thompson will take most of their voters and money, thereby giving him a clear lead. Rudy and Romney will be politically doomed from that point.
I changed the title because the real story, which is what the internals of the poll say, is not highlighted in the title. RCP and other sites post these polls with no comment. The poll needs to be examined to see whether its bottom line is accurate and, if not, why not.
Great news! I’m for someone else, but it’s encouraging to see him in front, instead of Julie.
“original title?”
Please use the original title and put yer comments in parantheses. Makes searching a bit easier. This is the type of article a lot of people would like to post.
Rudy maintains his lead by including voters who do not care and are not paying attention, and who will probably not vote, so it becomes a name recognition contest. Among voters who are paying attention, which is soon to become most of the likely voters, FDT has a clear lead.
My opinion as an unbiased voter who wants a Conservative to win is that Fred is lacking. If Fred impressed me in the least I would jump on his bandwagon in a second, but he doesn't.
Fredipedia: The Definitive Fred Thompson Reference
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The east coast media is determining who the canidadtes are.
They were pre-selected for approval - Thompson (Famous actor, so he “fits the bill”); Giuliani - (no explaintion needed); Romney (they know he is no real conservative. He is a safe “Republican” from Boston...they “know” him); and McCain has been a mainstream media guy for a long time.
If it wasn’t for the media black out, true conservatives, such as Duncan Hunter, would be leading in the polls.
” Most of the other candidates (McStain, Hunter, Huckabee, Tancredo, Brownback & Paul) will be gone shortly thereafter, and Thompson will take most of their voters and money, thereby giving him a clear lead. Rudy and Romney will be politically doomed from that point. “
What we really need is for all the posers to get out. I’d loved to see a primary with just Thompson, Tancredo and Hunter on the ballot. We can dream
Once Thompson is out and getting more media exposure, his face recognition will be even higher...”putting a name with a face.”
A lot of people have seen him, but might not remember his name.
You are right about the other three who have each been running for President for years. But no one really anticipated Thompson, and the “East Coast media” has been savage toward him, including Fox News and some so-called conservative bloggers who are engaged in a full bore promotion of Rudy. Duncan Hunter is a good man, but he is not going to win, and IMHO if by a miracle he were elected President, he would be less effective than Fred Thompson because he lacks Thompson’s political skills and talents as a communicator.
When did Fred Thompson become a candidate ? Must have missed the announcement.
I really think that Fred has outfoxed them all. He waited and the left got impatient and threw all their rubber darts at him. He has not spent a dime, and there is very little time left for them to try to take him down. He will get huge momentum out of the September announcement, which he will ride to victory in Iowa, where Romney’s support is marshmallow soft and then to New Hampshire.
All the pundits and prognosticators were, as usual, fighting the last war, using the 1976 playbook, because it gives them something to write about. Thompson, the wily fox, looks like he is going to fool them all.
Entirely believable.
The east coast media is determining who the canidadtes are.
They were pre-selected for approval - Thompson (Famous actor, so he “fits the bill”)...
And I picked Fred because he is the only one who is a true Federalist, and who can articulate conservative principles in a way that will actually lead the nation in a more conservative direction.
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