Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

To: fieldmarshaldj; Clintonfatigued
If you go to the press release for Jeff Beatty, it shows head to head matchups with the bio poll questions. Beatty loses to Kerry 58-23, and Kerry Healey loses to John Kerry (too many Kerry's, neither which I like) 53-34.

And though you may be right, it may be nearly impossible to win any Senate contest in Massachusetts, I do think Romney would easily get 40% against John Kerry in a Presidential or midterm election setting. He got 41% against Kennedy, and Kennedy is a much better candidate in Massachusetts than Kerry. In fact, with Republican opponents in the race Kerry averages only 53.9%. In comparison, with the exception of 1962 and 1994, Kennedy consistently bests 60%.

In fact, I think Romney would even have a shot at taking out Kerry, who is far less popular than he was in 1996, still an up and coming politician, and not the used-tarnished-old-and now loser politician that he now is. My reason being that Weld would have had a better showing against Kerry had Conservative Party candidate Susan Gallagher run in the 1996 Senate contest, siphoning nearly 3%, which we could guess would have either gone to Weld or no on at all. Had Gallagher not run, Weld could have posted at best 47.5%, and had Weld challenged Kerry in a midterm rather than a Presidential election (and not the Republican-cidal 1996 election), its quite possible that Weld could have gotten over 50% against Kerry.

But Unfortunatly Beatty is neither Weld nor Romney in Massachusetts electoral strength, and nor does he have their money. So I guess in that sense, there is no one that could possibly win a US Senate race in Massachusetts for the Republicans.
89 posted on 08/11/2007 4:21:11 PM PDT by MassachusettsGOP (May the West and Republicans Always Win...)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 81 | View Replies ]


To: MassachusettsGOP; Clintonfatigued; BlackElk
"If you go to the press release for Jeff Beatty, it shows head to head matchups with the bio poll questions. Beatty loses to Kerry 58-23, and Kerry Healey loses to John Kerry (too many Kerry's, neither which I like) 53-34."

Far more believable figures. I'd ultimately expect Beatty to probably score in the 25-30% range. But Romney is so committed to the Presidential race, he just won't make the jump into this Senate contest. Still, I'd expect a lot of raw feelings for the way Romney abandoned his state and party in his quest for the White House, and that would have a modest impact if he did switch over to make a run against Kerry (and I still say I'd find it hard to see him going over 40%, even 45% seems too much of a stretch).

As for Weld, had he been the nominee against Kennedy in '94, he quite possibly could've prevailed there, but we all probably would've regretted his presence in the Senate in short order, as he was clearly a liberal, and a gigantic ass to boot, and I wouldn't have put it past him to have pulled a Jeffords before Jeffords did. Of course, given his penchant for getting bored with whatever job he has, he probably would've quit or went looking for another office before long. Romney just reminds me too much of his political hero.

92 posted on 08/11/2007 4:51:01 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (~~~Jihad Fever -- Catch It !~~~ (Backup tag: "Live Fred or Die"))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 89 | View Replies ]

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article


FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson