To conclude this piece I come to my third and last heresy. My third heresy says that the United States has less than a century left of its turn as top nation.
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ok the sky is still falling
Dyson does end his piece by pointing out his poor record in predicting the future. So I cut him so slack on his third heresy...
I don’t necessarily disagree with him on the third heresy. I think alot of us here feel the same as him. Not that we think it necessarily WILL happen, but it wouldn’t suprise us. Things always go in cycles.
Who will be the next top nation? China is the obvious candidate. After that it might be India or Brazil.By 2070, nearly the entire current population of China will be dead, and nearly three halvings of the Chinese population (1 child families) will have taken place. The only reason there will be any wealthy Chinese will be tontine style inheritance.