I am speculating that if the liberals or the neocons grab the party again, Ron Paul will 3rd party so fast it will make your head spin. At least some will have a place to go and not waste their vote on a big spending,one world, pro immigration anti- constitutionalist.
One cannot run third party in most states if he has first run in a party primary for president. States have “sore-loser” laws. That’s why PJB left the GOP in 1999 after having campaigned for a time as a Republican. He could not have been the Reform party candidate if he had been in a GOP primary.