Rudy’s people have run the numbers and feel he can get enough votes to win the nomination even with a poor showing from the social conservatives.
Me, I don’t know but it will be close. The joker in the deck is a guy like Thompson or Gingrich who can say all the right things Rudy’s record prohibit him from saying.
i know Rudy thinks he can offset the social conservatives, and i think he’s wrong. of course, this is presuming Thompson gets in the race.
He’s relying on the several more-conservative candidates (Thompson, Romney, Hunter) splitting the conservative vote and getting the nom on the RINO vote.