Skip to comments.National Poll: Thompson 27% Giuliani 23% [Presidential Primary]
Posted on 06/26/2007 3:41:27 PM PDT by Rick_Michael
Tuesday, June 26, 2007
The biggest question in the race for the Republican Presidential nomination is whether or not former Tennessee Senator Fred Thompson can sustain his warm-up act once he becomes an actual candidate. The actor once did what many politicians could never imagine by walking away from a career in the Senate. Now he is on the verge of doing what few politicians can even dream of by entering a race for the White House on top of the polls for his partys nomination.
Thompson, preparing to formally announce his candidacy, leads the pack in the latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey with 27% support. That gives him a four-point advantage over former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani who is currently preferred by 23% of Likely Primary Voters. A week ago, it was Thompson 28% and Giuliani 27%. Two weeks ago, they were tied at 24%. Prior to that time, Giuliani had been on top in every weekly Rasmussen Reports poll for five months
Thompson leads Giuliani by 13 percentage points among conservative primary voters while Giuliani leads among moderates.
Among Republicans, 74% now have a favorable opinion of Giuliani. Thats down from 82% in late May. Twenty-three percent (23%) of Republican voters have an unfavorable opinion of the former Mayor. Thompsons numbers among the GOP faithful have been moving in the opposite direction. Sixty-six percent (66%) of GOP voters have a favorable opinion of the actor while just 18% have an unfavorable view.
Among those with more strongly held opinions, Thompson currently has an edge --21% of Republicans have a Very Favorable opinion of him while 14% have a Very Unfavorable opinion. For Giuliani, those numbers are 18% Very Favorable opinion and 19% Very Unfavorable.
Another new poll shows that both men are competitive in general election match-ups with the Democratic hopeful from Illinois, Senator Barack Obama. Obama is currently second in polling for the Democratic Presidential nomination.
This weeks GOP poll also finds former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney earning 12% support and Arizona Senator John McCain attracting 11%. Romney is viewed favorably by 56% of Republicans nationwide and McCain is viewed favorably by just 55% (40% have an unfavorable view of the former frontrunner).
On Monday, McCain strongly denied rumors that his recent plummet in the polls might cause him to drop out of the race. Over the past month, McCain lost a net ten points in a general election match-up with Senator Hillary Clinton. McCains decline among Republicans is tied to his support for an unpopular Senate immigration bill favored by just 22% of all voters.
Former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee is atop the second tier safely behind the leading candidates at 3%. Six other candidates--Senator Sam Brownback, Congressman Ron Paul, Congressman Tom Tancredo, former Governor Tommy Thompson, Congressman Duncan Hunter, and former Governor Jim Gilmoresplit 7% of the vote. Seventeen percent (17%) are not sure.
Rasmussen Reports releases updated polling data on the Republican nominating contest every Tuesday. Results for the Democrats are updated on Mondays. The current survey is based upon national telephone interviews with 587 Likely Republican Primary Voters conducted June 18-21, 2007. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. The Rasmussen Reports sample includes not only Republicans, but also independents who say they are likely to vote in a Republican Primary.
I know most of his positions, but what is his main thrust?
He's just Fredtacular!!!!!!!!
To be honest, I get the impression he’s doing this for his children and the long-term future of America.
His comments seem to support that...but then again, that’s just how I view his decesion to run.
it’s time for us conservatives to get rid of this rudy mcromney nonsense and get serious, as things stand right now hillary would embarrass any of them in a presidential election.
It tells me that nobody currently in the race has sparked the gop or conservatives yet.
I’ve gotten that same impression as well. I have a 7, 5 and 2 year old and he seems to make that connection to me.
I tend to agree with you.
From what I can see, Fred’s main motivation has to do with the philosophy of government He’s a Federalist and a Constitutionalist, thinks our current government is neither, and wants to fix it.
My impression (which could be totally wrong) is that if he could sit back and enjoy time with his family while some good man ran the country, he would like to do that. Unfortunately, it doesn't look like that's an option. The only way a good person is going to occupy the Oval Office is if Fred Thompson runs and wins. He may not want to subject his family to the pressures and hassles they'd face while he was President, but that would be better than having them live in a country that was falling apart.
I figure you like any news of Rudy’s fall. Don’t we all!?
But, can he beat the bitch?
“My impression (which could be totally wrong) is that if he could sit back and enjoy time with his family while some good man ran the country, he would like to do that. Unfortunately, it doesn’t look like that’s an option. The only way a good person is going to occupy the Oval Office is if Fred Thompson runs and wins. He may not want to subject his family to the pressures and hassles they’d face while he was President, but that would be better than having them live in a country that was falling apart.”
That’s exactly what I think. The truth is...if he doesn’t run, chances would be slim for America’s future. We just wouldn’t be the same.
I like that reason to run more than anything.
threat of radical islam, economy, borders, federalism
I think so. 47% of voters out there said they’ll vote against her, and he’s got less of dissaproval rating. All he has to do is gain a fairly small amount of support in key areas.
And to be honest, if Bush could do it in 2000 and 2004...under the conditions he did, I think Fred will fair off much better. That’s my impression. I think with time and debate, we’ll see that to be true.
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