They can accomplish the same mission from much further out with much less risk. Then, if the Chinese know they are pout there, they may come further out to try and do the same, at much more risk to themselves.
But my money is on them going all out to get at our carrier (one or two of them) off to the east of the island somewhere...and suffering horrifc attrition in the attempt.
The Navy Fact File contains descriptions of the roles and characteristics of Navy ships.
The make-up of a Carrier Strike Group (CSG)
The make-up of a Carrier Air Wing (CVW)
The make-up of an Expeditionary Strike Group (ESG)
Navy Personnel
Active Duty: 340,636
Officers: 51,548
Enlisted: 284,736
Midshipmen: 4,352
Ready Reserve: 129,077 [As of 07 March]
Selected Reserves: 69,117
Individual Ready Reserve: 59,960
Reserves currently mobilized: 5,646 [As of 16 May]
Personnel on deployment: 56,613
Navy Department Civilian Employees: 175,119
Ships and Submarines
Deployable Battle Force Ships: 277
Ships Underway (away from homeport): 143 ships (52% of total)
On deployment: 101 ships (37% of total)
Attack submarines underway (away from homeport): 24 submarines (44%)
On deployment: 17 submarines (31%)
Ships Underway
Carriers:
USS Kitty Hawk (CV 63) - Pacific Ocean
USS Enterprise (CVN 65) - Atlantic Ocean
USS John C. Stennis (CVN 74) - Arabian Gulf
Boxer Expeditionary Strike Group (ESG):
USS Boxer (LHD 4) - Pacific Ocean
USS Bohomme Richard (LHD 6) - Persian Gulf
Bataan Expeditionary Strike Group (ESG):
USS Kearsarge (LHD 3) - Atlantic Ocean
USS Bataan (LHD 5) - Red Sea
Amphibious Warfare Ships:
USS Tarawa (LHA 1) - Pacific Ocean
USS Peleliu (LHA 5) - Pacific Ocean
USS Wasp (LHD 1) - Atlantic Ocean
USS Essex (LHD 2) - Pacific Ocean
Aircraft (operational): 4000+
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~NAVY.mil ,,, June 1 07~~~~~~~~~~~~
Now Ya’ See’Um~~~Now Ya’ Don’t~~~Count The Carriers~~~
Now Count The Subs~~~(countin’ on his fingers)~~~
mmmmmmm,,,143- ,,,,,,,,er,,,,,,uh,,,,,??? Gitin’ “Tatooed”!?
Goofin’ Off ?? Fishin’ ??...;0)
Then, that same force of SSNs would turn around and do it again going the other way and keep it up until they had either cleared the straits, or the PLAN cleared itself from the area.
The biggest threat to those subs would not be any of the PLAN surface ships to this point because, quite frankly I believe their sonar and ASW capabilities are fairly weak. The biggest threat would be a half dozen or more of the newer Kilo class and other AIP diesel electrics the PLAN has.
Those vessels are best suited for littoral waters where they can wait for our forces to come to them, which is exactly what the LA class boats on such a sweep would be doing. Whether the PLAN boats would be fast enough, or trained enough, or equipped well enough to confront our SSNs is another question and it would be shown in such a confrontation.
Let's pray that our continued arming of the ROCN and our own commitment to the ROC remains strong enough so that conflict is deterred and we never physically have to find out.