I agree; it’s an overused and trite—and erroneous—cliche, to say “history repeats itself.”
In a way, one supposes it does, but actually what happens is that humans keep on making the same mistakes over and over and over again.....thus suffering the same consequences over and over and over again.
A good article. Lotsa predictions. Once the string of events begin to play out (I think they already have) the neat set of predictions will get more messy.
One thing the author says that is absolutely true: our main strategic enemies, Russia and China, will do all in their power, even to their own detriment, to see us broken.
For those who may not think so, consider the left end of our own society. They are willing to suffer to see America “brought down to size.”
Some of the Science Fiction authors I read have taken to using something like “History doesn’t really repeat itself, but it does rhyme.”