Let’s consider this Senate thing the other way around ... let’s assume the Democrat wins the President.
IF the Democrat wins the President, they WILL INCREASE their hold on the Senate, and RETAIN the House.
And, they WILL COME INTO CONTROL OF THE SUPREME COURT.
These are very sobering thoughts.
A left-socialtist, green, multi-cultural America.
Now, if the Republican wins the President, in a close race, I’d say the most probable result in the Senate is net zero or net 1. But, in any case, I don’t see the Senate changing much one way or the other.
I do believe we will pick up the House, but not by a wide margin.
This means that, to really move our agenda, we will have to do, in 2010 and 2012, what George W. Bush did in 2002 and 2004. But, at least we will be setting the agenda, and making incremental gains, instead of seeing the other side moving to consolidate power in this country, the way they are consolidating power in Venezuela.
This is why I think we have to be very serious about backing a candidate who can win.
Now, relative to CQ ratings ... I can see some upside potential for our side:
Arkansas - if Gov. Huckabee sets his sights on the Senate. (Was he terrific at the 3rd debate or what!)
New Jersey (and possibly even Michigan) - Rudy is showing very well in this state (and also in New Jersey and Pennsylvania). If Tom Kean could be enticed into a second run, we might win.
Iowa - Gov. Pawlenty would make a good running mate for every one of the front-runners. This could help us in the senate race in this neighboring state (and also in South Dakota).
Montana - We lost a Senate seat, in a very close election, in this state with an ethically-challenged incumbent. There’s a certain former Governor out there who should have been our nominee last year for the Senate, and might be persuaded to be our nominee next year.
If we were to pick up one or two of these seats, where we’re not expected to be competitive - “surprise pick-ups,” if you will - we could might start to think of net 2.
Which will make up for the loss of RINO Coleman who, quite deservedly, will lose in 2008.
Stopped reading right there. - If you believe that the GOP will ever win either of those states again, then you are too far within the Matrix to be saved.
- Watch and remember after the 08 disasters that I stated that. 8^)
Yes, yes, yes!
Great analysis in your post. “Electability” here at FR may be a different animal that electability throughout the nation.
That is the point of the thread, really.