Honest opinion, not spin. Do you think this Immigration bill has will pass?
No, I'm going to lie to you.
Of course I'll give you my honest opinion, right or wrong I always try to do that.
I think it will pass, at least in the Senate, but not exactly in its current form. There will be enough weasle worded amendments allowed for the shamnesty first crowd to continue spinning any objections as nothing but racism.
The real battle is in the House where it may never come to a vote. The only hope for passage there is to get enough of the MoveOn Dhimmicrats on board and their Union bosses won't let that happen so long as the guest worker provisions are still there (unless they build in something like mandatory union membership?) and if the guest worker program gets pulled the pro slavery business RINOs in the Senate will never agree to that in committee.
Bottom line, I don't think it will get out of the House or will go to committee in such a radically different form that it'll never get out of committee.
This fight could be a great launching point for a Thompson campaign. If he publicly went to the House members who have indicated interest in his campaign and was able to marshal them around the slogan of "border control first" he might really strike a spark with a lot of people. There are also a lot of non-hispanic immigrants who feel their communities are being raped by this bill as well. If he makes the notion of immigration fairness the theme he can successfully deflect charges of racism and would make a big dent in those communities, as well as in the black community, who are increasingly bitter about illegals coming here and taking "their benefits."