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To: Ol' Dan Tucker
The fact of the matter is, guessing someone's immigration-status because of their surname is a knee-jerk (and unconservative) reaction of the highest order. The probability of this particular driver being an illegal is equivalent to the ratio of illegal drivers to legal drivers. In other words, using the data you supplied the probability of this driver being an illegal is between one in four and one in five. The fact that this report does not mention his immigration status is irrelevant.

Those are not betting odds.

130 posted on 05/06/2007 10:48:31 AM PDT by 1rudeboy
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To: 1rudeboy
The fact of the matter is, guessing someone's immigration-status because of their surname is a knee-jerk (and unconservative) reaction of the highest order. The probability of this particular driver being an illegal is equivalent to the ratio of illegal drivers to legal drivers. In other words, using the data you supplied the probability of this driver being an illegal is between one in four and one in five. The fact that this report does not mention his immigration status is irrelevant.

We have to guess because LE agencies are forbidden from asking about someone like Rivero's immigration status at the time of the accident. Personally, I think it's a bad policy because it allows people who are here illegally to get away with murder. (figuratively speaking, of course)

I suppose the new 'conservative' position is to embrace law-breakers, like Bush and the entire GOP seems to be doing these days. The old 'conservative' position used to be that law-breakers were punished, not rewarded.

Those are not betting odds.

Really? What kind of odds do you get in Las Vegas? State Lottery? I'm sure you should be able to provide the statistial information that supports your assertion that 1 in 4 are terrible betting odds, right? Please provide links, as I have done.

It's been estimated that there are between 10 and 20 million Mexican illegal aliens in this country with a total population of ~200 million. That's between 5% and 10%. This ration translates into 1 in every 10 to 20 cars you see on the road being driven by an illegal alien.

And these aren't just drivers of POVs. These are also truckers. (ICE ARRESTS ILLEGAL ALIENS IN 3 STATES WHO HAD HAZMAT LICENSES, COMMERCIAL DRIVER’S LICENSES OR DRIVER’S LICENSES)

134 posted on 05/06/2007 11:24:46 AM PDT by Ol' Dan Tucker (After six years of George W. Bush I long for the honesty and sincerity of the Clinton Administration)
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