You are so right. Sarko already got a lot of le Pen supporters. He will most likely pick up more.
UDF members voted 82% Bayrou, 12% Sarko, 3% Royal, and 3% le Pen .
“You are so right. Sarko already got a lot of le Pen supporters. He will most likely pick up more.
UDF members voted 82% Bayrou, 12% Sarko, 3% Royal, and 3% le Pen .”
Le Pen voters are much more interested in law and order and nation and family than they are in economics. That’s why I just don’t believe that Le Pen will go and endorse the Socialist who wants to bring Turkey into the EU etc. If he does do it, I will be surprised. I think Sarkozy will offer proportional representation in Parliament, which will give the FN some seats, and Le Pen will leap for it. The FN in Parliament will help the Right, not the Left. It will also anchor the Right further rightward on crime and immigration and EU issues, which is not a bad thing, really.
In the second round I expect the UDF to split just as it did here, nowhere near 50/50 Sarko/Sego; much more like 60/40 (at a MINIMUM) and probably more like 75/25 for Sarkozy. I am basically a UDF type, and Sarkozy and the UMP are on this side of sane. The Socialists are well-meaning children. UDF people are smart and relatively philosophical (he says modestly). I think Sarkozy will not have a difficult time winning the second round, because the UDF and the FN and Villier’s royalists will all come out to vote for law and order. But what do I know?