Rudy Giuliani Leads John McCain by More Than 2-to-1 in Race for Republican Nomination (Harris Poll)

PR Newswire ^ | 4/20/07

[areafiftyone]

Rudy Giuliani Leads John McCain by More Than 2-to-1 in Race for Republican Nomination
Mitt Romney and Fred Thompson Not Far Behind McCain ROCHESTER, N.Y., April 20 /PRNewswire-USNewswire/ -- Former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani is now the front runner by a wide margin in the race for the Republican nomination for the 2008 presidential election, even though the first primary elections will not take place until February 2008. Giuliani leads Senator John McCain by fully 39 percent to 18 percent among those who think they will vote in the Republican primaries or caucuses. Former Governor Mitt Romney (14%) and former Senator (and movie and TV star) Fred Thompson (13%) are not very far behind McCain. The only other candidate with more than two percent of Republican preferences is former House Speaker Newt Gingrich (9%). This Harris Poll surveyed 2401 U.S. adults online and was conducted by Harris Interactive(R) between April 3 and 16, 2007. This survey included 522 adults who expect to vote in a Republican primary or caucus and like all polls conducted well before an election, it should not be read as a prediction. Rather, it is a snap shot of the presidential "horse race", at a very early stage in the race. A previous column assessed the standing of the leading Democrats(1). Early in the survey, all adults were shown a list that included candidates in both major political parties as well as other Republican and Democratic leaders, and asked for whom they would consider voting. Among Republicans, Rudy Giuliani (59%) leads Colin Powell (46%), John McCain (40%), Condoleeza Rice (39%), Mitt Romney (37%), Fred Thompson (31%) and Newt Gingrich (29%). Among all adults, the rank order of Republican leaders is almost identical to the rank order among potential Republican voters. This is because none of the Republican leaders have exceptionally strong appeal among Democrats and Independents. At this time it seems that Republican candidates face an uphill battle against the Democrats. Overall 68 percent of all adults would consider voting for one of the listed Democratic leaders, compared to 59 percent who would consider voting for one of the Republicans. PLEASE CHECK THE LINK FOR THE TABLES. I simply cannot get these tables in HTML format! YEESH! Sorry!

[areafiftyone]

((((((PING)))))

[Grendel9]

I just heard this run-down on FoxNews.
And I was surprised that the Talking Heads
were surprised (!) about Giuliani being so
far ahead of everyone else in this poll,
especially over McCain. That just tells me
how far off the pulse of the nation these
Talking Heads are! McCain lost his credibility
with the GOP rank and file over that long
time span he played footsey with every
Democrat in the Senate. Talk about your
Rhinos...!

[ex-snook]

Hey the GOP might nominate their first Catholic candidate.

[areafiftyone]

LOL! Don’t say that too loudly around here! ;-)

[Joe Boucher]

Rudy has his faults. Serious ones as a Republican candidate like his views on gun control, homosexuals,illegals,abortion but at least he isn’t a loonie tune like McCain.

[areafiftyone]

Fox News is getting worse every day!

[LS]

Yes, McCrazy appears to be falling, though not in collapse. Fred T. hanging in at 10-15%, despite not having announced. It will be interesting to see what happens if Newt and Brownback throw in with Fred, and if McCrazy continues to sink.

[Grendel9]

BTW...what do you think was the reason
Bill Clinton just announced his wife would
be OK if she lost in her bid for the Office?
THEN turned right around and announced in his
“opinion” Algore might just get into the race?!!!
Sounds like a serious pitch for a Clinton/Gore
ticket to me! And here 2 months ago, we were
thinking of a Clinton/Obama ticket from the
Democrat Convention!

[You Dirty Rats]

One thing about Bill Clinton — the man knows politics every bit as well as Nixon did.

I find this VERY interesting. Bill and Hill might be realizing that she just can’t win the Presidency - the negatives are too high and they are not likely to improve.

No way Hillary is going to run and lose.

Al Gore is their strongest candidate. Pathetic, but true. Who else do they have?

2008 is shaping up to be one of the more fascinating Presidential races in a very long time.

[karnage]

Who else do they have?

Obama. People absolutely love Obama. Many Dims I know loathe Hillary, and are wildly enthusiastic about Obama.

He’s raising more money than Hildebeast, has much higher favorables, and his name recognition is rapidly spreading.

[Peach]

We’re headed out for the day with our CT friends, but I can see the mantra that Rudy is slipping in the polls has been unproven.

[You Dirty Rats]

Maybe that’s the answer - Bill and Hill would prefer Gore to Obama for whatever reason.

I think there is a chance that Obama is this cycle’s Dean — lots of publicity, moeny, popularity, committed young volunteers (possibly including my clueless college-age daughter) — but I’m not sure success in 2007 will be followed by votes in 2008.

[NeoCaveman]

Hey the GOP might nominate their first Catholic candidate.

Nah, Sam Brownback doesn't have a chance and neithe Jeb nor Santorum are running.

[areafiftyone]

LOL! I posted 4 polls, Fox News, Harris, and two strategic Vision polls (one for PA and one for MI). Rudy is leading for all of them. Have a great time today.

[karnage]

You could be right. Dean attracted early and very intense support, which then vanished after The Scream. But Obama seems less likely to pull a gaffe like Howie. He’s pretty slick.

[You Dirty Rats]

I agree that Obama is much less likely to die by the gaffe. His problem is that politically he’s a lightweight. There’s just not that much there — it’s all image and very little substance.

[Extremely Extreme Extremist]

That PING list is getting a little bit shorter there, eh A51? ROFL

[Spiff]

We’re headed out for the day with our CT friends, but I can see the mantra that Rudy is slipping in the polls has been unproven.

[karnage]

“It’s all image and very little substance.”

When has that ever bothered Dim voters?!