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To: TommyDale
So far, Fred Thompson hasn’t made any attempt at gaining traction. So what? A national poll is meaningless when the elections are individual state-by-state elections.

If you look at it state by state, the case for Thompson is even weaker. Fred polls weak in OH and PA. He must take at least one of these two to win in November 08. Rudy loses in OH but takes PA and NJ, and that makes him the only Republican candidate at present capable of beating the Dim nominee.

These numbers will not change appreciably in the next 6 months, but if Fred Thompson ever gets to a point that he can beat the Dims in PA or OH I will rethink my support for Rudy.

I live in PA and I can tell you it ain't gonna happen. He's 14 points back in the general here. A generic Republican would poll higher.

27 posted on 04/20/2007 7:39:59 AM PDT by massadvj
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To: massadvj
"If you look at it state by state, the case for Thompson is even weaker."

He hasn't entered the race!


31 posted on 04/20/2007 7:52:02 AM PDT by TommyDale ("Can debate over four hours with no need to call a doctor!")
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To: massadvj
>>>>>Fred polls weak in OH and PA. He must take at least one of these two to win in November 08. Rudy loses in OH but takes PA and NJ, and that makes him the only Republican candidate at present capable of beating the Dim nominee.

You're fulla crapola. The GOP nomination process is still progressing. At this point, no one knows whats gonna happen in the race for the nomination. Not you, not anyone. Fred hasn't even entered the race and may never take that plunge. So we don't know how Fred will do should he go for it.

We do know Rudy the liberal IS in the race. We do know that Jersey is a liberal state, that's why Rudy polls well with voters there. Pennsylvania and Ohio have become more moderate-centrist states in recent years, now they're on the verge of turning the corner in support of a liberal. I'm not impressed.

55 posted on 04/20/2007 8:52:23 AM PDT by Reagan Man (FUHGETTABOUTIT Rudy....... Conservatives don't vote for liberals!)
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To: massadvj
"....These numbers will not change appreciably in the next 6 months, but if Fred Thompson ever gets to a point that he can beat the Dims in PA or OH I will rethink my support for Rudy.

I live in PA and I can tell you it ain't gonna happen. He's 14 points back in the general here. A generic Republican would poll higher....."

This is my take on it too. Fred Thompson is a good man but probably will remain in 2nd or 3rd place.

58 posted on 04/20/2007 11:22:20 AM PDT by KATIE-O (Rudy Giuliani - '08 (But Only If We Want To Win!))
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