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Gun-Policy Advocates On Both Sides of Issue Push Dubious Figures
The Wall Street Journal ^ | 4/20/07 | Carl Bialik

Posted on 04/19/2007 10:36:04 PM PDT by ForegoneAlternative

The Wall Street Journal

THE NUMBERS GUY

By CARL BIALIK

Gun-Policy Advocates On Both Sides of Issue Push Dubious Figures

April 20, 2007

[Various liberals, and Kleck, too, taken to task, then this…]

Another number that has emerged from the antigun-control camp ties multiple-victim public shootings to restrictions on carrying concealed weapons. John Lott Jr., visiting professor at SUNY, Binghamton, and University of Chicago economist William Landes counted references to multiple public shootings -- more than one killed or wounded at one time -- in the Lexis/Nexis news database for a 2000 book. They matched trends from 1977 to 1999 with right-to-carry laws, and found that when states allowed the carrying of concealed weapons, the rate of these attacks declined by 60%.

But another study, published in 2002 in the journal Homicide Studies, found "virtually no support for the hypothesis that the laws increase or reduce the number of mass public shootings." This later study counted only shootings with four or more murders, used FBI crime data to supplement news reports and, unlike the Lott-Landes work, included shootings that were byproducts of other crimes, such as gang murders.

Grant Duwe, a researcher on the later study, said the news-archive approach was likely incomplete, because the media don't always give publicity to multiple shootings.

Prof. Lott wrote in an email that he counted less-severe incidents to get enough data for statistically significant results. He justifies his exclusion of gang murders because gun usage by chronic criminals "would not be directly affected by the passage of right-to-carry laws."

That seems to be precisely the reason to include them for a full picture of the effect of these laws. [blablabla]

(Excerpt) Read more at online.wsj.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Crime/Corruption; Editorial; Government
KEYWORDS: banglist; lott; numbersguy; rkba; wsj
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1 posted on 04/19/2007 10:36:08 PM PDT by ForegoneAlternative
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To: ForegoneAlternative

It’s been pretty well proven that where there is an abundance of guns, the crime rate is low. The media does not want it to be known, however.


2 posted on 04/19/2007 10:43:38 PM PDT by TBP
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To: ForegoneAlternative

There’s lies, damn lies and statistics. :)


3 posted on 04/19/2007 10:46:44 PM PDT by cryptical (Bruce Schneier can smell weak keys.)
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To: ForegoneAlternative

So if gang members had to apply for CCL, they wouldn’t commit any murders?? Wow, those Wall Street Journal guys are smart!!!


4 posted on 04/19/2007 10:52:40 PM PDT by ozzymandus
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To: ForegoneAlternative

Regardless of the numbers and what the stalinists in the media say, the fact still remains that if everyone at Virginia Tech on the day of the shooting had a loaded AK slung over their shoulders, 32 innocent people wouldn’t be dead.


5 posted on 04/19/2007 10:57:24 PM PDT by A6M3
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To: A6M3

Beat me to the punch. Couldn’t have said it better myself.


6 posted on 04/19/2007 11:00:08 PM PDT by umgud ("When seconds count, the police are just 10 minutes away!")
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To: ForegoneAlternative

I can understand supplementing with FBI data, but then exclude shootings under four murders and include gang shootings? Talk about selective.

Gang shootings aren’t typical. Though states may have CC laws, the cities within those states where gangs predominately are usually ban carrying. Did the study exclude murders from those cities?

Alot of gang shootings are full auto, drive by, and with a gang mentality of revenging against all who fight back. Not so with an independent gunman. You can’t even legally shoot someone doing a drive by after they’ve stopped shooting and are driving off in most states. Seems like they’ve indcluded them to get the numbers they want.


7 posted on 04/19/2007 11:13:27 PM PDT by Free Vulcan (Show them no mercy, for you shall receive none!)
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To: A6M3

***Regardless of the numbers and what the stalinists in the media say, the fact still remains that if everyone at Virginia Tech on the day of the shooting had a loaded AK slung over their shoulders, 32 innocent people wouldn’t be dead.***

This is why students in Israel are allowed to carry Uzis and M-16s to class. Remember Ma’alot?


8 posted on 04/19/2007 11:15:43 PM PDT by Ruy Dias de Bivar
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To: Ruy Dias de Bivar
This is why students in Israel are allowed to carry Uzis and M-16s to class.


9 posted on 04/19/2007 11:39:17 PM PDT by Jeff Gordon (History convinces me that bad government results from too much government. - Thomas Jefferson)
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To: Jeff Gordon

Daaa-Yum!

I’m not even that attracted to blondes, but DAAA-yum!


10 posted on 04/20/2007 12:13:45 AM PDT by Don W ("Well Done" is far better to hear than "Well Said". (Samuel Clemens))
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To: Jeff Gordon

bttt


11 posted on 04/20/2007 4:55:58 AM PDT by razorbak
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To: Jeff Gordon

BTTT!


12 posted on 04/20/2007 4:56:48 AM PDT by razorbak
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To: ForegoneAlternative

The number of times crazed gunmen have attacked police stations, NRA conventions, military bases and firing ranges in America is too numerous to count.


13 posted on 04/20/2007 5:47:28 AM PDT by sergeantdave (Ice-cubes melting in the sun is an act of God. Get over it, Gore.)
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To: ForegoneAlternative
That seems to be precisely the reason to include them for a full picture of the effect of these laws. [blablabla]

But, but, I thought if the 2nd Amendment saves the life of JUST ONE CHILD it will be worth it? That's what the elite say about everything else!

Ask Mary Carpenter, she knows:

Mary Carpenter In Her Own Words about gun control:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K73pWPAYg0g

http://www.grnc.org/mary_carpenter_letter.htm

Mary Carpenter's letter to the North Carolina General Assembly:

All the gun laws you can imagine cannot change the heart of a killer and you know it.

Until man's heart is changed, we will be like sheep led to the slaughter without our weapons of defense.

May you stand before God and man as my two precious grandchildren's killer if you pass any more gun legislation that will make me a felon should I own a handgun or any other gun for that matter.

14 posted on 04/20/2007 6:41:30 AM PDT by Copernicus (Mary Carpenter Speaks About Gun Control http://www.youtube.com/view_play_list?p=7CCB40F421ED4819)
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To: ForegoneAlternative

Yes, looking at the numbers can give different results depending on how you’re looking at them.
At one extreme, we see a great benefit.
At the other extreme, we see no benefit (neutral results).
Ergo, _at_worst_ there isn’t a problem, and _at_best_ they’re very beneficial.
So end the bans; no matter how you look at the numbers, prohibition isn’t helping.


15 posted on 04/20/2007 7:28:56 AM PDT by ctdonath2 (The color blue tastes like the square root of 0?)
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To: ForegoneAlternative

In order to avoid unnecessary duplication, please use original headlines.


16 posted on 04/20/2007 7:30:57 AM PDT by Sidebar Moderator
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To: ForegoneAlternative

“This later study counted only shootings with four or more murders, used FBI crime data to supplement news reports and, unlike the Lott-Landes work, included shootings that were byproducts of other crimes, such as gang murders.”

IOW, they dishonestly designed their study to yield the result they wanted.

Got to remember the first law: all leftists lie all the time.


17 posted on 04/22/2007 8:42:14 AM PDT by dsc (There is no safety for honest men except by believing all possible evil of evil men. Edmund Burke)
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To: dsc

BUMP!


18 posted on 04/22/2007 9:08:58 AM PDT by Publius6961 (MSM: Israelis are killed by rockets; Lebanese are killed by Israelis.)
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To: sergeantdave
The number of times crazed gunmen have attacked police stations, NRA conventions, military bases and firing ranges in America is too numerous to count.

Yes, the gungrabbers never seem to mention that these mass murderers prefer "gun-free zones" for their heinous crimes.

That's exactly what a Senator Schumer or a Metzenbaum is trying to create: havens for those who would commit wholesale murder.

Rendering people defenseless does not make them safer: it makes them easier targets for those who would massacre them.

19 posted on 04/22/2007 4:47:48 PM PDT by snowsislander
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To: Jeff Gordon

This has GOT to made into a poster or bumper sticker!


20 posted on 04/22/2007 5:55:49 PM PDT by Eye of Unk
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