Posted on 04/17/2007 4:39:33 PM PDT by areafiftyone
OBAMA, GIULIANI LEAD PACK IN RACE FOR PRESIDENT AMONG 18-24 YEAR-OLDS, HARVARD POLL FINDS
Foreign Policy Issues, Particularly the War in Iraq and Genocide in Darfur, of Top Concern to Young People Today
Washington, DC - A new national poll by Harvard University's Institute of Politics (IOP), located at the John F. Kennedy School of Government, finds former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani and U.S. Senator Barack Obama as 18-24 year-olds' first choices for President in 2008 among likely young voters of both parties. Regarding the mood of the country, less than one-third (31%) of young people say they approve of the job George W. Bush is doing as President, and nearly six in ten young people (59%) believe the country is "off on the wrong track" while only thirteen percent (13%) believe the country is headed in the "right direction." On issues facing the nation, half of young people today (50%) say that either "Iraq," "the War," the "War on Terror" or "domestic security" is the most concerning national issue, with no other issue registering higher than six percent (6%).
"As our new poll shows foreign policy issues - especially the War in Iraq and the crisis in Darfur - are the issues of greatest concern for young people as they consider the next election," said IOP Director Jeanne Shaheen. "Political parties and candidates looking for success at the polls in 2008 should take notice."
"In the seven years we have been conducting this national poll, we have seen a marked difference in political engagement and attitudes of young people," said IOP Polling Director John Della Volpe. "From the thirty-one percent increase in youth voter turnout from 2000 to 2004 to the 2006 upset victories of Senators Tester and Webb, younger voters are making a difference."
The online survey of 2,923 18-24 year old U.S. citizens conducted between March 8 and March 26, 2007 finds -
Harvard students designed the poll, in consultation with Kennedy School lecturer David King and IOP Polling Director John Della Volpe, whose firm SocialSphere commissioned Harris Interactive to conduct the survey. Complete results and past surveys are available online at www.iop.harvard.edu.
The Harvard Institute of Politics' 12th Biannual Youth Survey on Politics and Public Service was conducted online by Harris Interactive among 1,440 U.S. citizens ages 18 to 24 years old enrolled in 4-year colleges and universities, and 1,483 U.S. citizens ages 18-24 not enrolled in 4-year colleges and universities. The study was fielded between March 8 and March 26, 2007. Figures for age, sex, race/ethnicity, education, household income and region for these populations were weighted where necessary to bring them in line with their actual proportions in the population. Propensity score weighting was also used to adjust for respondents' propensity to be online. With pure probability samples, with 100 percent response rates, it is possible to calculate the probability that the sampling error (but not other sources of error) is not greater than some number. With a pure probability sample of 2,923 one could say with a ninety-five percent probability that the overall results have a sampling error of +/3 percentage points. Sampling error for data based on sub-samples would be higher and would vary. However that does not take other sources of error into account. This online survey is not based on a probability sample and therefore no theoretical sampling error can be calculated.
Harris Interactive is the 12th largest and fastest-growing market research firm in the world. The company provides innovative research, insights and strategic advice to help its clients make more confident decisions which lead to measurable and enduring improvements in performance. Harris Interactive is widely known for The Harris Poll, one of the longest running, independent opinion polls and for pioneering online market research methods. The company has built what it believes to be the world's largest panel of survey respondents, the Harris Poll Online. Harris Interactive serves clients worldwide through its United States, Europe and Asia offices, its wholly-owned subsidiaries Novatris in France and MediaTransfer AG in Germany, and through a global network of independent market research firms. More information about Harris Interactive may be obtained at www.harrisinteractive.com.
Harvard University's Institute of Politics (IOP), located at the John F. Kennedy School of Government, was established in 1966 as a memorial to President Kennedy. The IOP's mission is to unite and engage students, particularly undergraduates, with academics, politicians, activists, and policymakers on a non-partisan basis and to stimulate and nurture their interest in public service and leadership. The Institute strives to promote greater understanding and cooperation between the academic world and the world of politics and public affairs.
WHOLE POLL IS HERE SURVEY RESULTS
That was short lived.
That’s because 18-24 year olds are boobs. Whoever has the biggest “cool” factor or wears the most “bling” is the one. Best looking. Whoever the “girlfreind” likes etc. At 18-24, it’s all about style and looks.
Looks like the youngins are hardcore liberals.
That is because I was pinged to some anti-Rudy threads which I really didn’t want to be on. (not by you) I’ll only be on for a little while longer.
I just thought Rudy ran strong with women that were not his wife.
:o)
“Dims lead by five percentage points among men, by fourteen points among women. Nancy Pelosi’s party holds a staggering 30-percentage point lead among voters under 30. Separate surveys have shown that a declining number of Americans now identify themselves as Republicans”
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/Political%20Tracking/Issues/April%202007/CongressionalBallot.htm
Also the Two polls that came out last week saying the American people think we will have a Democrat president in 2008. Doesn’t look good at all. I think we are underestimating the Democrats like we did in 2006.
Sadly, the republican message is not getting out, for whatever reason. Like it or not, Rudy is the only one at this point who can “frame the issues”.
Myspace has just done their own endorsement of Obama.
They put his profile on the front page with the heading “Cool new people”. This is not a random event. His profile will probably see such highlight for the next couple days.
Don’t expect the same showcasing of candidates of other parties.
I may post a screencap later.
Why not poll 17 year olds as well? They’ll be able to vote in 2008 (they will have turned 18 by then).
Also, while young voters may be less likely to go to the polls, I would count college students who do vote among that group of individual who are more likely to commit vote fraud by voting multiple times (either at home and school address or multiple times on election day at different polls).
Obama voted for more money for embryonic stem cell research, but voted NO for more money for adult stem cell research. Grrrr!
Burying their heads in the sand? Adult stem cells have shown more potential AND don’t have the moral dilemma of cannibalizing babies for medical product (if fetal cells prove functional, we WILL be harvesting young’uns for parts).
Obama is an idiot! He’s the Howard Dean of the 2008 Democrats .
UGH! I’m so sick of Obama!
Rudy can keep the enemy over there, and reduce the tax burden and debt load for the future taxpayers.
Probably someone who is bent on controlling the creation and destruction of life. Obama is worse than a jackass. Much worse.
The majority of the comments on this thread are indicative of mentalities significantly younger than 18-24.
How does Rudy poll in elementary school playgrounds?
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