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Would he have been elected President of the US in 1932 if the Confederates had not fired on Fort Sumter in 1861?

Well he was a Democrat so he got 100% of the electrol vote from the former Confederate states. In fact, "Big Government" FDR won all of the South every time he ran for president.

What I was thinking was that if you change one major event in history, it's impossible to tell how other things would have played out. Maybe there wouldn't have been a civil war and the seven Deep South states would have continued as a separate nation...and then the remainder of the US wouldn't have entered WWI (Woodrow Wilson was a Southerner by birth--family had moved to the Deep South), so maybe no Great Depression...certainly no Herbert Hoover as President.

Teddy Roosevelt's mother was born in Georgia--if Georgia wasn't in the US in 1900 he might not have been picked as VP and then become President, and without his Presidency FDR probably would have never won. Of course without the Spanish-American War we wouldn't have gotten TR as VP.