And why not tell me where you got the crystal ball that says Thompson can’t win any Kerry states?
Thompson has no organization at all and there are exactly ten months to Super Tuesday. He hasn’t even formed an exploratory committee. At this point his “candidacy” is more of a new media event than a real campaign.
If he does jump in, he is WAY behind the other campaigns on organization and fund raising. Those two factors will be even more decisive than in prior years due to the front-loaded primary system.
which ones?
why is Thompson going to do better then Bush did in 2004? where is Thompson’s appeal to independents going to come from, to hispanics, to young voters? what happens when people see that he has a wife that looks like his daughter lined up to be first lady? that he doesn’t have a particularly great career in government, not even having served two full senate terms. and he has no executive experience.
the idea here on FR, that Thompson is going to pull off some Reagan style landslide, is pure fantasy. if Thompson is the nominee - it will play out exactly as I said above. His electoral strategy will be identical to Bush’s. He will have to hold Ohio, hold one off those western states, and hold Iowa, to get to 270. Don’t get me wrong - he could do that - I’m not saying he can’t win the general - but its not going to be a landslide.