The 2002 map was the most effective Republican redistricting in the country. This means we won't be able to hold all of our seats in 2012 if MIchigan loses one.
As I see it, the population is still there for two Wayne County-based Democrat seats, an Ann Arbor-based moonbat seat, and Sander Levin's industrial south Oakland and Macomb district. They're going to poach some downscaling suburbs from McCotter and Knollenberg who will have to move their territory further out into exurbia to stay viable.
The 1st, 2nd, 3rd, and 6th districts are going to hang around based on geography and the political powers involved. Candace Miller is the incumbent in the 10th and has a lot of influence in the state and Washington, so she stays. You can't get rid of Flint and Saginaw so the 5th will endure, too.
My guess is that the 7th or the 4th district, both represented by Republicans now, will be carved up to allow for other districts to get larger.
On the plus side, if either Knollenberg (9th) or Walberg (7th) loses to a 'RAT between now and 2012, either district would jump to the front of the line for suicide.
I don't see Walberg losing, but Knollenberg looks to be the one with the biggest target on his back. Unless we take back the Governorship in 2010 along with the House, the rodents are going to look to screw us royally.
Re: Ann Arbor. The moonbats there are not happy being represented by Dingell, they regard him as old Rightist Establishment (!) Many are still pissed that Dingell was redistricted in with and beat ultraliberal moonbat Lynn Nancy Rivers.
See my post #26. While the GOP redistricting in MI has proven to be the most effective for us of the 2000 Census, it was far from optimal, leaving vulnerable districts in MI-04, 07, 08, 09 and 11 (and arguably 10). Pontiac and eastern West Bloomfield should have been placed in Levin's MI-12, the Grosse Pointes and more of SE Macomn should have been in Miller's MI-10, and at least part of Monroe should have been in the MI-07. I would have also stretched the MI-05 from Bay City-Saginaw-Flint all the way to Lansing-East Lansing (cutting throush Shiawanassee County (sp?)) and left Tuscola and other GOP or marginal areas for GOP districts. It will be more challenging to draw 5 GOP districts surrounding 3 Dem districts in 2010 than it was to draw the 2000 map, but it can be done.