Rudy has more baggage than Santa on Christmas morning.
He will not win. I for one will not vote for him. I'll support the conservative who will surely rise up and run as a third party candidate against him in the general.
I think we would need a good strong 3rd-party conservative to get the republican base to the polls, or else we'd get crushed down-ticket by all the extra moderates and liberals Rudy would drag to the polls to vote for him.