Even if he does win, he is going to get his butt handed to him in the national election...
BIG TIME!
And you are supposedly the one to give us an expert opinion on that? You said that he's too cozy with the unions, which means that Duncan attracts crossover votes. Your blind hatred of unionism blinds you to the fact that their members often vote for solid socon candidates, especially ones that seem to be labelled "protectionist". He also attracts a large undertow of anti-illegal immigrant voters that doesn't show up in the polls, such as what happened with prop 187 in liberal California (supposed to lose big, won big). Or Bill Sali, same thing.
Delphinium has a great example of how these kinds of polls and MSM trashing of socon candidates mean absolutely nothing when the time comes to push the lever. If anything, the negative media attention serves our purposes better when we have a good socon candidate. The media would turn on Rudy so fast it would make a galaxy spin.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1787224/posts?page=464#305
Bill Sali won and he was very unashamedly pro-life, less government, less spending, no on taxes, free interprise , no homosexual marriage etc.. and support for the Iraq war securing our borders...all of Jims suggestions.
The media trashed him, the Rinos trashed him even in the general, The polls that the media reported had him so low it looked impossible.
He won big! They were reporting total lying polls to affect the election.