I keep saying the same thing. Any candidate whose best hope is to defend the 2000 or 2004 electoral map isn't going to win. Things could change on the political front, Iraq might be much closer to the promised end, but even with that, I don't see Republicans winning if the Democrats can take their blue states to the bank early and use their money to pick off a couple of red states.
any candidate we sent up, we need to be asking:
- what state could/can he win that Bush didn't win in 2000/2004?
- can he win Ohio?
if we can't accomplish any "takeaways" from the Dem column that Gore 2000 and Kerry 2004 got, and we have to place all our chips on Ohio again - that prospect scares me.