While I don't underestimate the magnitude and threat of the ChiCom's current naval build-up (which Jeff Head has chronicled in detail over the past few years), I do question their capability of jumping straight into big time carrier/battle group ops without any prior operational experience whatsoever. Even the Japanese had to learn how to fight with carriers during the two decades before Pearl Harbor, and the U.S. Navy of course, learned the hard way during World War II.
With that said, I think that the real naval threat from the ChiComs is their submarines, one of which successfully penetrated an American carrier screen some months back as I recall. If built and deployed in mass as the ChiComs are apparently doing, then that is where the real trouble will be. Just my humble opinion...