Because, if you could understand precinct voting, and numbers in even the Red States, Dem votes are needed to inch any Goper over the edge to be a winner. There are more Dems registered than Gopers. Now, one thing is known. Likely voters in both parties are close but Pubs for years have gotten their voters out. In Ca., with huge Dem numbers, Rudy could not only win but with some coatails, even bring some down ticket Pubs in with him. Arnold could not do that but on a Presidential ticket, it is possible. NJ would be another such state.
sounds like more Progressive thinking,, again, how much will this latest foray into the middle cost all of us long-term.. as to coat-tails, I wonder how many care to buy much more of what the Gub is selling, no matter how a previous poster spins his "accomplishments" and rams it to the rest of the base and with much glee, as you may notice,, I, for one, would feel more comfortable without him at the Gub's side.. if ya get my drift, and it isn't to the left as so many are willing to lean so readily.
There are more than enough states where democrats are a minority to put a good conservative republican over the top, with independents and a few democrat-registered non-affiliates.
What kind of coattails do you think Rudy's going to have with republicans? If Rudy gets more moderate democrats out to vote for him, who do you think they are going to vote for down-ticket, people like Hunter?
I'm convinced Rudy would be a disaster for solidly conservative down-ticket candidates. He will definitely suppress the solid-conservative vote, and while that won't hurt him because he'll have the independents and democrats, they won't vote for our other candidates.
Conversely, if we had a solid conservative 3rd-party candidate, it might put a democrat in the white house, but also get conservatives elected down-ticket because it would bring out the solid conservatives in droves, and they WOULD vote for any non-rudyish down-ticket republican.
Of course, if we put up a lot of rudyish candidates, we might win down-ticket races. And if the state and local government races also have rudy-ish candidates brought into the process by Rudy's success in the nomination process, we could end up winning a majority control of house and senates at the state level, and completely destroy any chance of stopping gay marriage/civil unions, AND any meaningful legislation on the state level to stop abortions, much less keeping our right to have the weapons available we need to defend ourselves when the police refuse to do so.
The top of the ticket defines the down-ballot races.
More than any other GOP candidate, Rudy has the possibility to take a lot of blue states; or, at the very least, place them in play, making the Dem candidate have to spread him/herself very thin.
Likewise, Pennsylvania, and even (gulp) New York?