Jim, the rats are going to vote rat and the Republicans are going to vote Republican - - nothing of any significance will change there. What Giuliani can scoop - - big time - - is that great big ignorant chattering class of know-nothings in "the middle". You know, those people you see on Leno's "Jaywalking" routines, and hear on Hannity's "Man on the Street" interviews - - people who cannot name the Vice President of the United States.
It's a celebrity world out there for better or worse (likely worse) and the same people who think it's cool to elect Arnold will elect "America's Mayor".
Rasmussen shows it even now in his general matchups - the Dem base is solid - Hillary, Obama, Edwards, Gore - solid.
I really need to sign up as a premium member there, he has alot of "crosstab" data that must be interesting.