Rudy didn't make a serious campaign or GOTV effort in Spartanburg, whereas all the other candidates did. He's still the frontrunner. All the polls have him up about 20% over McCain and his numbers have been surging during the last month. Sure, sometimes history doesn't indicate what will happen in the future but you can learn alot from the past.
Baloney. That's already been asked & answered on the Spartanburg threads.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1794003/posts
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1794278/posts
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1793613/posts