[Jim Robinson]

It suggests to me that if a conservative gets the nod he will get full support of the vast majority of all Republicans whether conservative, moderate or socially liberal. On the other hand, if a social liberal gets the nod, he will lose a substantial portion of the conservative vote. My guess is he will lose more conservatives than he gains liberals so will lose to Hillary.

[Kevmo]

Yes, I see the same thing.

That, and one other recent poll shows that should the solib get the vote, he seems to run the risk of breaking up the party.

http://www.freerepublic.com/perl/poll?poll=172;results=1




The Looming GOP Rift: Will the Right Secede?
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/bloggers/1791057/posts?page=133

[upsdriver]

I believe you're right, Jim. I'd have a hard time supporting a party clearly moving leftward. I would rather lose the election, not to teach the party a lesson as some are quick to accuse me of, but rather to save the party.

Then we could regroup and come back stronger than ever. But if a Guilianni type were to win, I fear the party would be lost.