My gawd, you are using polls almost two years before the general election to predict the election.
Howard Dean led John Kerry 40-12 in New Hampshire the month before the primary. We all know how that one turned out.
Meanwhile, over the last 30 years, the GOP has won when it runs center right, and lost when it drifted leftward. THAT is demonstrable history.
Got better data?
I'm not saying that these polls Mean He Will Win. He might lose. Lots of things can happen. What I am saying is that your and others' predictions that he would be a "train wreck" for the party, in light of these polls, have no factual basis whatsoever.
Meanwhile, over the last 30 years, the GOP has won when it runs center right, and lost when it drifted leftward. THAT is demonstrable history.
Propose a feasible center-right candidate and I'll be listening. You are not doing so. You are predicting doom and gloom if Rudy is nominated. Again: that's your right, but you have no factual basis for doing so.