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To: Unmarked Package; John W
I dunno, I'm probably absurdly ignorant about this subject - but. I guess my "but" is that I find it very difficult to figure how putting a mass into the trajectory of the threat asteroid, such that the threat is attracted to that mass enough to be pulled out of the threat trajectory, can possibly be more efficient than simply colliding with the threat asteroid. It seems to me that entraining the threat gravitationally is really, in principle, indistinguishable from colliding with colliding with it at a very low velocity.

And if you in fact are colliding with the asteroid, you might as well burn your "sufficient mass" as fuel in your rocket and slam into the asteroid with that much greater momentum. It looks to me like ultimately the only issue is the net momentum of all the rocket combustion products before/during the collision. And that the "tractor" approach is simply a long-duration collision.


45 posted on 01/24/2007 11:03:49 AM PST by conservatism_IS_compassion (The idea around which liberalism coheres is that NOTHING actually matters except PR.)
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To: conservatism_IS_compassion; John W
"I find it very difficult to figure how putting a mass into the trajectory of the threat asteroid, such that the threat is attracted to that mass enough to be pulled out of the threat trajectory, can possibly be more efficient than simply colliding with the threat asteroid."

The idea of crashing a spacecraft into an asteroid to alter its trajectory is seductive because, at first thought, it appears to be a simple, predictable game of celestial billiards. In other words, if we hit the threat asteroid at point X with mass Y traveling at velocity Z then A, B, and C will result. They script variations of this all the time in the killer asteroid movies Hollywood produces, so it must be possible, right? It’s accomplished in a flash and everybody can breathe a sigh of relief and go on with their lives. Who wants to fret over a boring gravity tug on a killer asteroid that drags on for 20 years?

Unfortunately, the reality of the situation is very different. A solution in the collision scenario can be calculated with barely an acceptable degree of certainty only if we know beforehand the exact material composition of the threat asteroid in all regions and its mass distribution to a degree of certainty approaching what we know about a billiard ball. To obtain that scope and depth of knowledge about a small celestial object hurtling through space many millions of miles from Earth is essentially hopeless. Even if we had the requisite knowledge of the asteroid, the solution might show a sufficient mass for a collision scenario couldn’t be constructed and delivered from Earth in time.

A basic rule of killer asteroid wrangling has something in common with the ethical practice of medicine described in the Hippocratic Oath, i.e., “First, do no harm”. Since the precise consequences of a collision can’t be predicted or quantified to an acceptable degree of certainty, it’s wise to attempt to alter the trajectory of the asteroid without adding the risk of making the problem worse; especially if the result might be multiple asteroid fragments. The stakes would be too high to do otherwise if an approaching asteroid threatened Earth with an extinction impact event.

47 posted on 01/24/2007 1:18:17 PM PST by Unmarked Package (Amazing surprises await us under cover of a humble exterior.)
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To: conservatism_IS_compassion; John W
Don't give up on your theory that a collision scenario is a feasible solution to divert some asteroids. The European Space Agency thinks the method is worth a closer look, see Targets for asteroid-nudging mission chosen for more information.
56 posted on 01/24/2007 4:04:47 PM PST by Unmarked Package (Amazing surprises await us under cover of a humble exterior.)
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