Posted on 01/18/2007 6:12:40 PM PST by TigerLikesRooster
Ex-US defense chief suggests military action against North Korea
by P. Parameswaran
2 hours, 50 minutes ago
The United States should consider military action against North Korea if China and South Korea refuse to prod Pyongyang to end its nuclear weapons program, former US defense secretary William Perry proposed.
Although the move is dangerous, there is no alternative left if China and South Korea, the two key economic lifelines to North Korea, do not join any US-led "diplomatic coercive" action against Pyongyang, he told a Congressional hearing.
Perry, the Pentagon chief under former president Bill Clinton, said the United States should consider destroying a large reactor under construction in North Korea capable of making about 10 nuclear bombs a year.
In addition to the Yongbyon reactor, which produces spent fuel that can be "reprocessed" to yield plutonium for a nuclear weapon, Pyongyang is reportedly building a large reactor in Taechon.
Perry said that the danger of the North Korean nuclear weapons program was by now obvious to China and South Korea and that they should be willing to join the United States in any concerted diplomatic initiative.
"An additional inducement for China and South Korea would be the concern that if they did not provide the coercion, the United States might take the only meaningful coercive action available to it -- destroying the reactor before it could come on line," Perry said.
"Clearly, this is a dangerous alternative," he said. "If China and South Korea do not agree to applying coercion, the United States may be forced to military action which, while it certainly would be successful, could lead to dangerous unintended consequences," he said.
But, he said, there were no alternatives left that were not dangerous.
"Allowing North Korea to move ahead with a robust program that is building 10 nuclear bombs a year could prove to be even more dangerous that exercising coercive diplomacy," he said.
But Daryl Kimball, executive director of the Arms Control Association, said Perry was "being imprudent" when he suggested threatening bombing the North Korean nuclear facility.
"The reality is that the North Korean nuclear program is a grave security threat but threatening to bomb a reactor that is not yet completed could itself trigger a deeper crisis, impede diplomacy that still has the potential to free North Korea's existing and still limited nuclear program," he said.
Furthermore, Kimball said, a pre-emptive strike on any North Korean facility risked a war on the Korean peninsula that was sure to take tens of thousands of lives in South Korea and among US troops deployed there.
Together with China, South Korea, Japan and Russia, the United States has been involved in three years of six-party talks with North Korea aimed at disbanding its nuclear program but to no avail.
But Perry said the talks were necessary but not a sufficient condition for success.
The United States, he said, should return to these talks with a "viable negotiating strategy, which includes a credible coercive element, and which included significant buy-in from the other parties.
"The most feasible form of coercion could come from the Chinese and South Koreans, who could threaten to cut off their supply of grain and fuel oil if North Korea does not stop work on the large reactor," he said.
But this alternative has been resisted by the two nations.
North Korea agreed in principle during the six-party talks in September 2005 to abandon its nuclear weapons program in return for diplomatic, financial and security guarantees.
But it walked out in protest at US financial sanctions imposed on a Macau bank accused of illicit dealings on behalf of Pyongyang and carried out its first nuclear test explosion on October 9 last year.
The talks resumed in December last year but ended in deadlock as Pyongyang insisted the financial sanctions be lifted before it would discuss nuclear disarmament.
There was a meeting between U.S. Assistant Secretary of State and N. Korea's Vice Foreign Minister in Berlin a few days ago. U.S. also hinted that it might unfreeze part of N. Korean bank accounts at BDA in Macau.
It seems that U.S. is trying to get a tangible result from N. Korea, by showing both carrot and stick. Actually more stick than carrot on balance. On the flip side, this could turn into yet one more rationale for U.S. to go unilaterally against N. Korea.
There is also N. Korea's second nuke test in the waiting.
On another front, there could be political changes in China and S. Korea. S. Korea would have presidential election this December. The ruling leftwing government will do its best to perpetuate left's hold on power. It could resort to some extreme measures such as another inter-Korean summit to restart left's sagging political momentum, or Roh Moo-hyun stepping down ahead of his term, trying to force the early election in order for his favorite candidate to win. In China, Hu will to consolidate his power by booting out old Shanghai faction and install people loyal to him.
Depending on timing and ordering of these events, it could get dramatic.
Ping!
OH OH Chia Pet won't be roaney any more ROFL
Let me get this straight:
Attacking non-nuclear Iraq was a mistake according to the Dems.
Attacking a (possibly) nuclear-armed North Korea is a good idea, or at least advisable, according to none other than WJC's Defense Secretary?
All I can say is WOW! Keep the pointy objects away from these amateurs.
I don't think this is from Dem's talking points. Perry is doing his own talk, I think.
HI MONK i was hoping you do capiton or Chia Pet in middle of Dark North KOrea who Dick Cheney suppose to be Sean Astin
That map that former Secretary of Defense Rummy had map contrast difference between South and North Korea but I think Chia Pet won't be that roaney if we go after him
This guy was Secretary of Defense under Clinton? Why didn't he advocate military action back then? Oh, I know, Hillary wouldn't have heard of it, or Sandy Berger opposed it.
somewhere in the haze and maze, recall reading that people...countries divided by East-West...North-South are messed up individuals until they get it Together.
United States....
The Clintons pretty much threw him under a bus, so I doubt he ever even came close to proposing this.
I'm not to fond of him, but Perry did get a pretty bad deal from serving under the clintons.
Loyalty to them, gets you a knife in the back.
The article said -- "Ex-US defense chief suggests military action against North Korea"
Man..., it's just getting too troublesome keeping the world "straight" these days.
I mean, first it's Afghanistan, then it's Iraq, now we're talking about "in your face" Iran, and along with them, their cohorts, Syria. Add to that North Korea.
Have we upped our capabilities now -- to engage in a "six-front war"? [gotta have "one to spare" in case something else comes up...]
I'm all for "whacking" these guys, but how are we going to do it all?
Regards,
Star Traveler
Now?
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