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Although everything is possible, I don’t think so. Russia is tired of Lukashenko who is not willing to give them what they want from him. I mean Belarusian pipelines in particular. Lukashenko also don’t want any formal merger with Russia, not even common currency. On the other hands Russians subsidized their economy by this very cheap gas and protected him on international arena. Current relationship with Belarus is very unprofitable for Russia.

Przydaloby sie kilka dobrych reaktorow nuklearnych, no nie?

Wiesz tak z brzegu do brzegu. Putin dlugo po mordzie nie dostal, i przydaloby sie go walnac wten sam sosob. Niech poczuje wlasna medycyne zycia.

English
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[“We should go nuclear. Let Putin swat for a while, create economic block with our eastern neighbors and with USA to develop new sources of energy. You know we can do it.

Hit it at source of his agenda and then turn around and build more fusion as well nuclear reactors.

Hit this KGB boy where it hurts; in intelligence and productivity and remove our dependents from Baku; though if I am not mistaken we are going to drill soon in Syberia.

Kaczynski doesn’t get it yet, soon he will.

Kremlin thinks they can outsmart many, well maybe especially those who don’t know history.

He can outsmart other nations, he will not outsmart us. You know what he is up to.

Remember when they tried this against Latvia?”]
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Dzieki. Trzym sie.

Serdeczne pozdrowienia/Mit freundlichen Grüßen/Best regards Salutations/Atentamente/Med venlig hilsen

Relationship with Belarus is very profitabile for Russia. You see, politicaly, it is.

1. EU needs Belarus(territory of Belarus) for Gas/Oil import
2. EU needs good relations with Belarus

Now, there are following scenarios:

1. Attack on Belarus by EU (economical/Millitary).
Highly unlikley, Russia would just wait that to cutt-of Oil/Gas under excuse "Bad west is agressor on poor free state Belarus"
2. Makind a deal, secret ona even, with Belarus woth subsiding Belarus economy
3. Killing Lukasenko
Some maybe worst dictator may get to power and destructing all posibillity of transport Gas/Oil to EU

Most probably, EU will cut a deal with Lukasenko. What I belive is that Poland will be scapegoat, and allready is.
remember that Germany and Russia are building a pipeline across Baltic, thus bypassing Poland?

There is anwser why is this happening:

1. EU was concerned by baltic pipeline, Poland especialy.
2. Germany and Russia needed to convince EU that new pipeline is absolute nesscesery for EU

look now this:

1. Russia is making a deal with Belarus to Belarus to cutt-off suplies of Gas and Oil to EU, it is a seal between Russia and Belarus.
2. Germany and Russia are (or will be) saying: Here it is, you see! baltic pipeline is nescessary, to avoid Lukasenko
3. EU will aproove baltic pipeline, bypassing Poland just to get undisturbed supply of Gas and oil from Russia.

Result:
Belaruss will remain on rute of Russias gas and oil, maybe not importan as now, but it will remain best buddie with Russia.
Germany and Russia will bypass Poland, isolating her economicaly and politicaly.
EU will be happy as small puppy, not to have to bother with lukasenko and will do anything to pressure Poland and other ex-eastern countries to stop messing with Lukasenko.

game, set and match for Russia.