My money would say Knox. With Mitch now the minority leader the dems will want a favor sometime down the road. He will cash this chip in right away to help keep his support base here in the bluegrass. Send the IBCT to Hawaii and all will be fine.
I do have a rough time imagining the old Tropic Lightning of my Vietnam days now having a toe hold in the frigid north lands.
Two BDES worth, One ABN and the SBCT. Actually Ft Lewis and AK make the most sense as the knowledge base for all things SBCT are at Lewis and the basic infrastructure is in place at both Lewis and AK. All it would take is to move the ABN (4-25) Bde to HI and bom you are there. It also has to do with ability to deploy, I am quite sure there are no close Ports or are C-17 capable Airfields at FT Knox.
The initial concept with the SBCT was wheels down via C-130 within 96 hours of recieving the word. While for the most part that has gone away, there is a huge diffrence between having to move to the Port of Anchorage or Port Of Olymia vs Beumount TX, which is the port that both Carson and Knox use if I remember correctly. I think the decision really is between Ft Rich and Ft Lewis, and the other two posts were named just to appease people.
The biggest thing about this, is who is going to replace 2-25 on the patch chart. They were supposed to deploy to Iraq (if I remember correctly) this Dec (07), right now that leaves 2 potential SBCTs 2CR and 1-25. So one again Greenies and the great and wonderful 9th Circuit Court have screwed with national security.