How many of that 33% do you think will make it until next fall?
Approximately 1/3 of the population is changed out every year. 8% is Alaska Native and generally stay in the State; not all, but most. Three years is about all one should expect from those who got inspired and showed up mostly unannounced, which is about how they will leave. As they say, 'yeah, old Pete, we remembered him fondly until we saw his taillights.'