The Iraqis are not passive recipients of this political largesse, they have paid dearly for it. It is an incredibly difficult challenge given the autocratic antecedents of the country, the tribal grass-roots organization, and the broad and vicious historical oppression of Kurd and Shi'a by Sunni. It's impossible, absurd - I can certainly understand why so many very knowledgable people find it unlikely.
But it hasn't failed yet. And if it doesn't it won't be because the U.S. gave anything to anybody, it will be because the Iraqis earned it. There is no other route to freedom, there is no other route to democracy. IMHO.
Well said. I hope you are right.
A "nation" of Sunni Kurds, Sunni Arabs and Shia Arabs -- all itching to dominate and even kill each other -- cannot function as a stable platform for democracy. The Kurds view the Arabs as a lower form of life, somewhere between worms and lizards, and would prefer not to share a country with them. The Sunni and Shia Arabs have been persecuting each other for 14 centuries, and their attitude appears to be, "Why mess with success?"
One question that our soldiers began asking was, "Is Iraq the way it is because of Saddam, or was Saddam the way he was because of Iraq?" At first we thought it was the former, but now it appears to be the latter.
This ties in to what I call the Trashcan Theory of History. There are some countries that can only function when a trashcan lid is firmly put in place. Remove that lid and all kinds of horrible things pour out.
Occasionally, a trashcan lid works a miracle, and the people are ready for self-rule. Spain under Franco is a good example. When the Spanish Civil War ended with a German intervention, half the people of Spain were quite willing to kill the other half. Franco's 36 years of military dictatorship gave the Spanish a cooling-off period. The Spanish hated and feared Franco more than they hated and feared each other, and Franco offered 36 years of stability. Once he was gone, the people were ready to rule themselves, and aside from a single hiccup early in Juan Carlos' rule, they've done quite well.
Iraq and Yugoslavia are good examples of trashcan lids being removed before people were ready. Regrettably, I'm coming to believe that only a strongman can hold that country together, and preferably someone less psychotic than Saddam.