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To: Brilliant
A falling dollar ought to be good for exports and bad for imports. So it may be time to invest in companies that face significant import competition.

This would be normal trade theory. Unfortunately, it is less than likely. We have huge trade imbalances partially because of the trade barriers imposed by China, the Pacific Rim, and the EU. They deny it of course.

But nonetheless real.

If things get really bad...they likely will make those barriers even higher. So as the dollar falls, in part because of their predations...they likely will react with even more aggressive barriers to keep the U.S. from redressing those imbalances.

Look at how the EU has reacted to being busted about its Airbus subsidies...they have threatened open trade war.

Why this should be so much worse than their thinly-veiled trade war is not explained.

Anyways...nothing is likely to happen at the WTO where the EU outvotes us 15 to one....

Yep. The WTO is to "Free Trade" what the UN is to "World Peace".

Time to get out of both.

17 posted on 11/29/2006 10:19:50 AM PST by Paul Ross (Ronald Reagan-1987:"We are always willing to be trade partners but never trade patsies.")
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To: Paul Ross

The biggie, though, is oil. We can make our own computers, autos, etc. We simply choose not to since we can buy them overseas for less.

But we've gotta buy our oil from the Saudis, at least until the American people demand that Congress permit more drilling, and that ain't gonna happen anytime soon.


18 posted on 11/29/2006 10:24:04 AM PST by Brilliant
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To: Paul Ross

Overwraught my good man. The end is near I fear for you. The chicken littles die in mass migrations. Lemming!


62 posted on 12/05/2006 12:56:09 PM PST by globalwhiplash (so sad)
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