[padre35]

I would not count NY as lost to Hillary/

I would, no way Rudy is taking NY State if Hilliary runs.

Nor do I believe Rudy would carry every state's primary. However, I don't see anyone beating him in the Midwest, East, West and parts of the South. Particularly the candidates which have been mentioned. I would not declare any state impossible for him to win particularly since there will probably be at least three "conservatives" splitting the vote./////

McCain runs strong in NH and SC and MI, or at least he did the last time. As soon as the ads are run with Rudy dressed like Marilyn Monroe, South Carolina will be lost to him.

And by SC the pretenders who have no money are out of the race, South Carolina's design as a conservative firewall is a solid one.

In 200 McCain's candidacy was dashed on the rocks of Bob Jones U.

[justshutupandtakeit]

Guiliani can handle any of the publicity which could be aired against him. He is very deft in such matters for more than anyone running against him. But I am not claiming he would win SC anyway though he certainly has as good a chance as any.

However, winning SC is in no way a prequisite to obtaining the nomination either. I would think that the bloom is off the rose for McCain in SC in any case.