Turnout will be everyting. A 2-3% advantage from a superior GOTV effort WILL swing razor tight elections.
If there is a suprise House retention, it will be due to turnout. I think we keep the Senate losing 3 seats. I hope to be wrong about the House. I rather scare people a little into voting and working GOTV and be wrong, thinking we are going to lose 25 seats but be happily surprised.
It is all about turnout and has always been!
What the polls have assumed is the GOP is not going to turn out, hence the losses.
If we turnout as we did in 2004, we are going to win-it is that simple.
None of this has to do with the Democrats increasing their popularity, but with the GOP base suppose to be disenchanted with the GOP.
The entire thrust of the Media and DNC is suppress the GOP grassroot vote, which amazed them in 2004.
What these idiots forget, but we haven't, is that we are in a war and our troops are depending on us.
The GOP voter will vote because we want to win that war.