Posted on 11/04/2006 8:50:10 PM PST by marginoferror
A new Washington Post-ABC News poll shows some narrowing in the Democratic advantage in House races. The survey gives the Democrats a six-percentage-point lead nationally among likely voters asked which party they prefer for Congress. It was 14 points two weeks ago, but this remains a larger advantage than they have had in recent midterm elections......Bush's approval rating stands at 40 percent among all Americans and 43 percent among registered voters, a small but statistically insignificant increase in the past two weeks. About twice as many strongly disapprove of him as strongly approve.
Independents favor Democrats by an 18-point margin, but that is less than the 28-point advantage Democrats enjoyed two weeks ago.
The poll also showed that the Republican strategy of trying to make Democrats an unacceptable alternative may be working, at least at the margins.
Two weeks ago, 55 percent said Democratic members of Congress deserved reelection. In the new poll, that shrank to 48 percent. But Republicans remain stuck in the high thirties on the same question.
(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...
It's a lot easier to answer a phone poll than it is to actually get off your butt and stand in line at the voting booth. Democrats aren't known for being highly motivated people, either.
even Iraq war is 45% approval - 55%-45% is not the kind of split that the media has been portraying. With all their propagandizing all they can do is convince a few percent more than the DNC lunatic left Kerry base ????
The good news is that the election is still ahead of us and we still have the control to influence it in a positive way by not only making sure we vote, but also out family and friends by giving them rides to the polls if we have to.
If you can take a day off from work Tuesday that would be great too.
Check again- RV=registered voter, LV-likely voter.
Dan Balz is a ball-less wonder. Quit jacking off, you morons.
DEMS lost big advantage on handling Iraq they had 1 months ago - Kerry factor or people just wising up? ... or the Foley factor gettign washed away as people re-think what "NANCY PELOSI CONGRESS" might mean?
12. Which political party, the (Democrats) or the (Republicans), do you trust to do a better job handling the situation in Iraq?
x-......--.........---..........
Democrats Republicans Both Neither No (vol.) (vol.) op.
11/4/06 RV 42 42 1 11 3
10/22/06 RV 48 40 1 8 3
10/8/06 51 38 3 7 2
9/7/06 43 44 2 10 2
1) People are thinking about the election now.
2) Jf'nK shot his mouth off.
3) "San Francisco Values" is working.
Exactly.
Read the poll data!
I agree-GOP holds both houses.
The "Amber Alert for Nancy Polosi" was an excellent idea.
Correct. This is a huge shift in momentum away from the Dems at the last minute. We might be looking at a surprise on Tuesday.
"San Francisco Values" is working!
Eithre we are going to turn out better or the poll oversampled Rs ... lookee here:
901. Generally speaking, do you usually think of yourself as:
Democrat Republican Independent Other No op.
11/4/06 LV 33 34 30 2 1
11/4/06 RV 35 32 30 2 1
basically, the sample had 3% more Dems than Reps, but the voters will be 1% more GOP.... hmmm. Good news? OR bad news that even with that the generic ballot was still down?
All I can tell is that the POST-FOLEY POLLING WAS AN ABERRATION that is now going away. Which means we will NOT see an election blowout by Dems. Their gains may be enough to win the House ... or not... depends on how hard the last-minute ads, campaigns, moves minds and gets the conservative base motivated to vote.
Work hard for last-minute GOTV. The Congress is in our hands.
Broken-glass time, Republicans! Save the Congress!
An amazing headline given the content of the article. Ridiculous.
7 point bump in those that think the country is on the right track. That has to be the economy.
"The poll also showed that the Republican strategy of trying to make Democrats an unacceptable alternative may be working, at least at the margins."
Make them? They are. Maybe more Americans are seeing that for themselves.
Certainly some of the bump in Bush's numbers on the Rasmussen daily tracking poll was the unemployment figure on Friday.
I'm not sure that this is a shift in anything but the pollsters effort to be more accurate as the true measure of the electorate gets closer. They have "reputations" to worry about.
Reputation does not seem to be a worry of Broder and his co-author on the article. They are spinning like tops.
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