Steel appears to be tied in MD, Survey USA
http://polipundit.com/index.php?p=15796
Friday, November 03rd, 2006
MD Senate race Tied Again
I am having very good feelings about the Maryland Senate Race. A new poll came out and we have been given some of the internal information:
In the race for Senate, the new survey shows Republican Michael Steele and Democrat Ben Cardin are tied with 47% of the vote. Unlike other pollsters, SurveyUSA has consistently showed the race tied. One explanation: SurveyUSA’s turnout model is 26% black. Of black likely voters, 33% vote for the Republican Steele, who is black. If less than one-third of blacks vote Republican, the Democrat Cardin wins. Other polling firms show both a lower black turnout and less support among blacks for Steele.
In light of the recent and important endorsements that Steele just received, I am wondering if he will just get 33% of the black vote? In the privacy of the voting booth, how many votes will the pasty looking Cardin actually get?
I don't trust Survey USA..they performed horribly in '04.