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To: LS

I have a theory for you about the polling. You believe there is a bias and that the bias might come from cell phone use.

Lets assume there is a strategy to controll the data by getting callers to change the data. The caller marks the call for the rat even though it is for the GOP. Such "ringers" placed in the various polling places could help skew the results a few points.

If this was happening, the larger the sample size, the less the effect would be.

I happened to look at the polls for CT candidate Simmons. These polls were done within days of each other and I noticed a pattern. The larger the sample size, the larger the swing to the GOP. Each increment in sample size reduced the rats lead until the largest sample size showing the GOP ahead.

I posted the polls on Simmons sorted by sample size to show the effect here:

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1729920/posts?page=29#29


23 posted on 11/03/2006 5:04:13 PM PST by Raycpa
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To: Raycpa

Exactly right on sample size. That's why I said in the post that I think it's a great deal of LAZINESS. The fact is, NO COMPANY can make 5,000 calls a night. So they make 1,000, then throw Rs in with Ds or artificially "guess" where the Is will end up.


37 posted on 11/03/2006 5:21:55 PM PST by LS
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