To: oblomov
A combination of bets on individual races would be a more useful predictor; each race in this scenario is independent of the other.
3 posted on
11/03/2006 3:40:02 PM PST by
kingu
(No, I don't use sarcasm tags - it confuses people.)
To: kingu
A combination of bets on individual races would be a more useful predictor; each race in this scenario is independent of the other. I don't think they are statistically independnet, though. Things like Kerry's foot-in-mouth incidents may have small but non-trivial effects in many districts. Two probabilities that can both be affected by a common event are not independent.
12 posted on
11/03/2006 3:50:24 PM PST by
supercat
(Sony delenda est.)
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