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To: frogjerk

He missed 1 House race (Baron Hill lost) and 1 Senate race (Tony Knowles lost). Best track record in prognostication, although he did lose the Presidency.


42 posted on 11/02/2006 9:57:42 AM PST by youthgonewild
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To: youthgonewild

He blows the presidency youth, and you consider that allright?

The guy predicted a Busby win in the Cal 50 in June.


46 posted on 11/02/2006 10:06:34 AM PST by Welike ike
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To: youthgonewild

2004 was much easier to pick than this. Most races were in fact showing wide margins.

In this race not only are large numbers of polls showing virtual ties, a lot of polls are contradictory, and the polls that are used to set the underlying statistics to adjust the voter polls are also skewing wildly back and forth.

Either the electorate is all over the map from day to day, or the polls simply cannot be trusted to provide accurate information.

No matter what happens, most people picking based on polls are likely to do much worse than they did in 2004. This is going to be like picking NFL games or the NCAA basketball tournament, almost anything can happen.

I'm very worried about my own state, and we need to make sure that every person we know will vote correctly gets to the polls on Tuesday. That's how we will win the election.


113 posted on 11/02/2006 2:46:42 PM PST by CharlesWayneCT
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